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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD Nears Critical Breakout at $3,375

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD Nears Critical Breakout at $3,375
Published on

May 22, 2025

Gold Gains Momentum – Key Resistance in Sight

Gold (XAU/USD) extended its rally on Wednesday, climbing to 3,321∗∗andreclaimingthe∗∗20−DayMovingAverage(MA)∗∗.Thebullishmomentumsuggestsapotentialpushtowardthenextcriticalresistancezoneat∗∗3,370–$3,375, where:

  • The 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level converges

  • Two key trendlines intersect

A breakout above this zone could confirm a bullish reversal, signaling further upside potential.

Bullish Reversal Pattern in Play

Gold recently bounced off support from a declining channel’s lower boundary, reinforcing bullish sentiment. Historically, when price reverses from one side of a channel, it often tests the opposite boundary—in this case, the upper resistance trendline near $3,375.

Key Levels to Watch

  • Immediate Resistance: 3,370–3,375 (Fibonacci + trendline convergence)

  • Breakout Confirmation: A daily close above $3,375 would signal:

    • Escape from the current bearish correction

    • second bullish breakout from the long-term rising channel (blue)

  • Support Levels: 3,300(20−DayMA),3,250 (50-Day MA)

Weekly & Monthly Bullish Signals

  • Weekly Bullish Reversal: Confirmed if gold closes above last week’s high ($3,292)

  • Potential Record Weekly Close: A finish above $3,327 would mark a new all-time weekly closing high

  • Monthly Consolidation: May has been an “inside month” (trading within April’s range), suggesting bullish consolidation before the next major move

Technical Outlook: Will Gold Break Higher?

  • Bullish Case: A breakout above 3,375∗∗couldreignitetherallytoward∗∗3,500+

  • Bearish Risk: Failure to hold above 3,300∗∗maytriggeraretestof∗∗3,250

Final Thoughts

Gold’s technical structure remains bullish, with multiple confirmations:
✅ Successful support retest
✅ Weekly reversal signal
✅ Potential breakout above key resistance

Traders should monitor Fed policy signals and inflation data, which could influence gold’s next major move.

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